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Good Odds
Good Odds
The betting company, Ladbrokes, have worked out the odds for different people being “the next Conservative leader.” I was excited to see Steve Barclay MP getting 66/1. This must be looked at in perspective. Steve is a brand new MP, has never been a cabinet member, and has a low profile compared to the party members who’ve been around a long time. Yet his 66/1 position is actually very high!
For instance, that is the same odds that Ladbrokes gives to the much-lauded Zak Goldsmith. Also the same odds that Labrokes gives to Nick Clegg (though that seems a little generous to Clegg – how could he ever end up leading the Conservatives? That’s just plain silly.) And it is better odds than; Iain Duncan Smith, Damian Green, Dominic Grieve and Eric Pickles.
But its not what they say that is interesting – but rather what (or whom) is not mentioned. The fact that Steve Barclay is on the list at all must mean something – because few (if any) other new MPs are. The list is mostly for people with high media profiles (in order to attract gamblers.) Clearly, our local MP has something which has got Ladbrokes interested enough to give him odds. At 66/1 I would humbly suggest it is a value bet. If you enjoy a flutter – put some money on it.
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What ? A Cambridgeshire M.P. as P.M. ? Couldn’t ever happen. ‘bout as likely as a woman P.M. or black American President !
Not as unlikely as you suggest – it all depends how long it is until the next contest!
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Peter Roberts, john elworthy. john elworthy said: Steve Barclay, MP, is 66-1 to be the next Tory Leader. Check out Tierney's blog http://www.stevetierney.org/blog/?p=1788#comments [...]
Go Steve!
Good on him!